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align=middle colSpan=2> <H2>煤h(hun)涨幅存“疑问?煤电(sh)联动~行</H2></TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle colSpan=2> <H3></H3></TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=right width=346><A href="http://ducatiukracing.com/" target=_blank>煤炭资讯|?/A></TD> <TD width=382>2007-5-18 10:35:05    <A href="http://ducatiukracing.com/MroeNews.aspx">煤市分析</A></TD></TR> <TR> <TD colSpan=2 class="newsContent"> <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" > <HTML> <HEAD> <meta http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html;charset=gb2312" /> <title>煤h(hun)涨幅存“疑问?煤电(sh)联动~行

煤h(hun)涨幅存“疑问?煤电(sh)联动~行


07--5--18

中能?sh)力工业燃料公司党组书记、中?sh)联燃料分?x)?x)长解居臣指出,煤?sh)联动今年5月不可能出台?SPAN lang=EN-US>

他指出,今年1-4月䆾的煤炭合同h(hun)格和最l执行h(hun)格差别较大,煤h(hun)的实际付?gu)ƾ情늛前没有摸清?SPAN lang=EN-US>?/SPAN>此前的合同定仯高,但真正执行的h和合同h(hun)格有一个差距。真正执行h(hun)格是多少说不清楚Q所以还在测h(hun)根{?SPAN lang=EN-US>?nbsp;

Ҏ(gu)相关规定Q煤?sh)联动的周期原则上以不少?SPAN lang=EN-US>6个月Q若周期内^均煤h前一周期变化q度辑ֈ或超q?SPAN lang=EN-US>5%Q相应调整电(sh)P如变化幅度不?SPAN lang=EN-US>5%Q则下一周期累计计算Q直到篏计变化幅度达到或过5%Q进行电(sh)仯整?SPAN lang=EN-US>

d5?SPAN lang=EN-US>1日实行第二次煤电(sh)联动Q全国每度电(sh)上调q_2.5分钱。以颇具代表性的U皇岛港q仓价ؓ(f)例,与去q?SPAN lang=EN-US>4?SPAN lang=EN-US>24日相比,发热量每千克6000大卡的大同优L(fng)今年4?SPAN lang=EN-US>28日h(hun)g涨了5.43Q?SPAN lang=EN-US>,而发热量5500大卡的山西优L(fng)上涨?SPAN lang=EN-US>4.9Q,4000大卡的普通؜煤上涨了2.9Q,发热?SPAN lang=EN-US>5000大卡的山西大L(fng)?SPAN lang=EN-US>4500大卡的普通؜煤则分别上涨?SPAN lang=EN-US>4.8%?SPAN lang=EN-US>5Q。按以上数据Q这一q加权^均h(hun)格的增长q度应该?SPAN lang=EN-US>5Q之下?SPAN lang=EN-US>

一q跨度的q缓上涨掩盖不了某些时点上煤L(fng)高企。今q?SPAN lang=EN-US>1月䆾Q大同优L(fng)的h(hun)Dd4月最高上涨了10.8Q,p优؜煤上涨了11Q,上涨q度最低的4000大卡的普通؜煤h(hun)g涨幅度也?SPAN lang=EN-US>7Q左叟뀂此时按?SPAN lang=EN-US>6个月1个周期计,煤h(hun)变化q度肯定辑ֈ了进行联动的要求?SPAN lang=EN-US>

事实上,联动的周期越长,煤h(hun)的上涨幅度超q?SPAN lang=EN-US>5%的可能性越。以2006q全q电(sh)煤h(hun)格来看,d中期算的涨价幅度超q?SPAN lang=EN-US>5%Q但全年上涨q度仅ؓ(f)3%?SPAN lang=EN-US>

此外我国煤炭有三U定h?SPAN lang=EN-US>—?/SPAN>市场定h(hun)、国安点合同煤定h(hun)以及(qing)区域内煤仗ؓ(f)了准反映电(sh)煤h(hun)格的波动情况Q尤其是反映不同地区、不同定h式的l合煤h(hun)Q发改委h司目前正在编制电(sh)煤h(hun)格指敎ͼ数据采样分别׃国煤炭运销协会(x)、中?sh)联燃料分?x)q行攉?SPAN lang=EN-US>

解居臣表C,Ҏ(gu)目前Ҏ(gu)数测的l果昄Q应该能辑ֈ联动的标准;但是Q交易量占三成左右的市场煤h(hun)一直受季节因素、市场因素等波动较大Q这对煤h数的走势影响较大Q所以只有等指数全部~制完成后才能确定是否达到联动标准?B>

 



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